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The wrong Russian/USSR leader has died. RIP Gorbachev.

Taking back Kherson and crossing the river would open up the roads to Crimea and/or Melitopol.

Her father isn't a top priority either. Seriously, there is no motive here for Ukraine.

Pretty much no motive. 100's if not 1000's of higher value targets, why waste resources ?

Was it a Putin-ordered hit or an anti-Putin hit is the unanswered question.

What are the Russian tourists up to this time in Albania ? 1561088846179500032 1561093700478025736

Yeah, that's fine. I ignore wars outside of Europe myself so I can understand that point of view. The nuclear plant is still there. Even if it blows it doesn't look like the physics will allow another Chernobyl type disaster. Which is great news.

It seems someone has dropped another cigarette at the Russian Black Sea Fleet Headquarters. On Wednesday 14th August it's Ukraine's Independence Day celebration. The perfect day for the Kerch bridge to disappear.

I remember that Crimea airbase from 8 years ago - where the first shots were fired ( into the air ) in this war. https://youtu.be/KNFj5fsEbHA

1560305949281222658 Quite.

This reassures me somewhat : 1558450535551967233

The nightmare scenario may be on the cards : 1560159020887019522 He means "without" not "with" in this follow up : 1560159750297354240 1560155377072840706

No, he needs a bad defeat so he'll slink back under his rock and not trouble the World again. A defeat so bad his army is crippled for 20 years. Any sort of win and he comes back in 5 years for more.

1559611194058719233 Best use it before it blows.

There's a rumour that Putin's "chef" - Prighozin - has been killed in Ukraine, although reports are conflicting. Anyway, his HQ has been flattened by HIMARS. Not a chef as such, he's the guy that runs the Wagner mercenaries.

Russia is up to something with that nuclear plant - I don't actually know what. Just guesswork, quite probably wrong.

Russia can blow it, blame it on Ukraine or a sad sap russian scapegoat commander, declare a ceasefire, withdraw from Kherson and Zaporizhzhia oblasts as a "goodwill gesture", and cement their territory in Crimea, Donetsk and Luhansk. Putin has a way out of his disasterous war, doesn't lose...

This nuclear plant is my main worry now. I'm not bothered about hollow rhetoric about firing nukes, but russian shenanigans at this power station could go very wrong, very quickly. If it blows - and it can be blamed on some sap local commander - it gives Putin a face saving way to end his...

Not sure I agree that he'll go nuclear. I'm not convinced but I suppose we find out when the Kerch bridge is flattened.

The gas supply card is a given. We'll have a bad 3-4 months but it won't change anything. His army is now taking such a battering he'll be lucky to hold onto Donetsk and Luhansk oblasts. No more than my opinion of course.