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[Politics] Russia invades Ukraine (24/02/2022)



beorhthelm

A. Virgo, Football Genius
Jul 21, 2003
35,431
im confused why either side would shell the nuclear plant. Russia holds it so why attack it, Ukraine cant hope to retake presently and wouldnt want the fallout retaliating to anything launching from there. no real evidence and feels like propaganda.
 




Igzilla

Well-known member
Sep 27, 2012
1,650
Worthing
im confused why either side would shell the nuclear plant. Russia holds it so why attack it, Ukraine cant hope to retake presently and wouldnt want the fallout retaliating to anything launching from there. no real evidence and feels like propaganda.

It might be Russia trying to raise a false flag for some reason or another? :shrug:

Or maybe Ukriane are closer to retaking it than we are led to believe. After all, there's a lot of rumours about Ukraine being less than 10km from Kherson, despite what the war maps say...
 




Blue Valkyrie

Not seen such Bravery!
Sep 1, 2012
32,165
Valhalla
im confused why either side would shell the nuclear plant. Russia holds it so why attack it, Ukraine cant hope to retake presently and wouldnt want the fallout retaliating to anything launching from there. no real evidence and feels like propaganda.
Russia can blow it, blame it on Ukraine or a sad sap russian scapegoat commander, declare a ceasefire, withdraw from Kherson and Zaporizhzhia oblasts as a "goodwill gesture", and cement their territory in Crimea, Donetsk and Luhansk.

Putin has a way out of his disasterous war, doesn't lose Crimea, saves face and survives politically.
 


Icy Gull

Back on the rollercoaster
Jul 5, 2003
72,015
im confused why either side would shell the nuclear plant. Russia holds it so why attack it, Ukraine cant hope to retake presently and wouldnt want the fallout retaliating to anything launching from there. no real evidence and feels like propaganda.

If these western rockets are as accurate as we are led to believe the Ukranians, knowing the layout precisely could just be targeting perimeter buildings?

It’s a bit risky but the Russians are trying to divert the energy from the plant to Russia allegedly, although how long that would take is anyone’s guess
 




A1X

Well-known member
NSC Patron
Sep 1, 2017
18,403
Deepest, darkest Sussex
Russia can blow it, blame it on Ukraine or a sad sap russian scapegoat commander, declare a ceasefire, withdraw from Kherson and Zaporizhzhia oblasts as a "goodwill gesture", and cement their territory in Crimea, Donetsk and Luhansk.

Putin has a way out of his disasterous war, doesn't lose Crimea, saves face and survives politically.

All at the point where it's pretty clear the Ukranian military hardware is about to go up a notch in capability.
 


Eric the meek

Fiveways Wilf
NSC Patron
Aug 24, 2020
5,575
In time, we could see a very different Russia. Possibly, many different Russias, reflecting the wide diversity of the disparate regions, with differing cultures, peoples, languages and religions that currently make up the largest country on earth.

But this won't be easy. Imagine being born, living your whole life, and dying, never having known the freedom of TV, radio, press and association? How would you know what you've been missing? Imagine being fed a diet of government propaganda your entire life. Your views, opinions, horizons, ambitions, allegiances and loyalties are going to be driven - and limited - by a group of 'elites' in a far away land. Everything that you considered to be true, throughout your whole life, could be turned upside down in the next few years.

If this process looks like coming to fruition, then it will need a carefully considered, measured approach by the rest of the world to help Russians through what could be the most traumatic journey towards democracy.

The last time Russia tried this, it didn't go too well. The result was Putin.
 


herecomesaregular

We're in the pipe, 5 by 5
Oct 27, 2008
4,299
Still in Brighton
Russia can blow it, blame it on Ukraine or a sad sap russian scapegoat commander, declare a ceasefire, withdraw from Kherson and Zaporizhzhia oblasts as a "goodwill gesture", and cement their territory in Crimea, Donetsk and Luhansk.

Putin has a way out of his disasterous war, doesn't lose Crimea, saves face and survives politically.

When you put it simply like this it's a big worry. Obviously, I really hope you are wrong.
 




beorhthelm

A. Virgo, Football Genius
Jul 21, 2003
35,431
Russia can blow it, blame it on Ukraine or a sad sap russian scapegoat commander, declare a ceasefire, withdraw from Kherson and Zaporizhzhia oblasts as a "goodwill gesture", and cement their territory in Crimea, Donetsk and Luhansk.

Putin has a way out of his disasterous war, doesn't lose Crimea, saves face and survives politically.

high risk and counterproductive, wouldnt fancy living in Donbass or Crimea with the fall out. but with Putin wouldnt rule out. i wonder if commanders on the ground would carry through such a disaster.
 




Deportivo Seagull

I should coco
Jul 22, 2003
4,949
Mid Sussex
Russia can blow it, blame it on Ukraine or a sad sap russian scapegoat commander, declare a ceasefire, withdraw from Kherson and Zaporizhzhia oblasts as a "goodwill gesture", and cement their territory in Crimea, Donetsk and Luhansk.

Putin has a way out of his disasterous war, doesn't lose Crimea, saves face and survives politically.

For that to happen he would need to be in a position of strength. He’s not, the Russian military machine is a mess in terms of strategy, poor equipment and poorly trained man power. Ukraine will simply say no and the West will support them, as rubbing Putin’s nose in it as it will send a message to whoever takes over.

The attack on the airfield in Crimea is a very big issue for Putin. It’s the equivalent of someone taking a dump on his door step.


Sent from my iPad using Tapatalk
 




SeagullinExile

Well-known member
Sep 10, 2010
5,772
London
Surely it should be the mayor of Kyiv that represents Ukraine!

I was going to have him in Zelenskis corner!
 


carlzeiss

Well-known member
May 19, 2009
5,884
Amazonia
It might be Russia trying to raise a false flag for some reason or another? :shrug:

Or maybe Ukriane are closer to retaking it than we are led to believe. After all, there's a lot of rumours about Ukraine being less than 10km from Kherson, despite what the war maps say...

https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/ar...-attacking-Europes-largest-nuclear-plant.html

Does this video PROVE Russia is attacking Europe's largest nuclear plant? Footage from inside occupied site 'shows mortars fired from short range as Putin's troops try to sever connection to Ukraine's power grid'

Ukrainian workers held hostage by Russian troops at Europe's biggest nuclear plant captured attack on it reactors on camera at the weekend
Captures what seems to be sound of mortar firing, then exploding a second after
Ukraine's nuclear chief says mortars must therefore be shooting from close by, and must be Russian since Putin's men control territory around the plant
He said mortars are being fired at power lines to disconnect plant from Ukraine
 


Igzilla

Well-known member
Sep 27, 2012
1,650
Worthing
https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/ar...-attacking-Europes-largest-nuclear-plant.html

Does this video PROVE Russia is attacking Europe's largest nuclear plant? Footage from inside occupied site 'shows mortars fired from short range as Putin's troops try to sever connection to Ukraine's power grid'

Ukrainian workers held hostage by Russian troops at Europe's biggest nuclear plant captured attack on it reactors on camera at the weekend
Captures what seems to be sound of mortar firing, then exploding a second after
Ukraine's nuclear chief says mortars must therefore be shooting from close by, and must be Russian since Putin's men control territory around the plant
He said mortars are being fired at power lines to disconnect plant from Ukraine

It wouldn't surprise me if it were the Russians trying to blow up the power lines. After all, this is the same army that dug trenches into the radioactive soil around Chernobyl.
 






A1X

Well-known member
NSC Patron
Sep 1, 2017
18,403
Deepest, darkest Sussex
If you control the plant and the area around it, why do you need to blow up the power lines when you could just turn them off?
 




TugWilson

I gotta admit that I`m a little bit confused
Dec 8, 2020
1,500
Dorset
Of all the despots in recent history (1200 years) putin is the biggest coward ,they worry me more than the brave ones ,especially with the weapons this coward has .
 




Blue Valkyrie

Not seen such Bravery!
Sep 1, 2012
32,165
Valhalla
There's a rumour that Putin's "chef" - Prighozin - has been killed in Ukraine, although reports are conflicting. Anyway, his HQ has been flattened by HIMARS.

Not a chef as such, he's the guy that runs the Wagner mercenaries.
 


A1X

Well-known member
NSC Patron
Sep 1, 2017
18,403
Deepest, darkest Sussex
There's a rumour that Putin's "chef" - Prighozin - has been killed in Ukraine, although reports are conflicting. Anyway, his HQ has been flattened by HIMARS.

Not a chef as such, he's the guy that runs the Wagner mercenaries.

Well that’s certainly food for thought
 


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